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9.26 Analysis of the rise and fall trend of gold and crude oil today and operation suggestions for the final battle on Friday
Wonderful introduction:
Optimism is the line of egrets that are straight up to the blue sky, optimism is the ten thousand white sails beside the sunken boat, optimism is the lush grass that blows with the wind on the head of the parrot island, optimism is the falling red spots that turn into spring mud to protect the flowers.
Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Official Website]: Analysis of the up and down trend of 9.26 Gold and crude oil today and operation suggestions for the final battle on Friday". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
The investment market always has four levels: keeping the principal, controlling risks, earning profits, and making long-term and stable profits. Don’t determine the result because of the winning or losing of a day. Is it accidental or inevitable to make money, whether it is based on real effort or luck. Those who can survive in the market will definitely be investors who can eventually make long-term profits. Trading is a good habit, strictly implement your trading plan. A rigorous transaction = good mentality control + correct position control + strong technical skills, never force buying and selling for cooperation. Opportunities are reserved for those who are prepared. The right choice is greater than a hundred times hard work. If you trust the teacher, I will give you a satisfactory return. You just need it, and I happen to be professional!
Analysis of the latest gold market trends:
Analysis of gold news: On Thursday (September 25) at 20:30 Beijing time, the US Department of xn--xm-6d1dw86k.commerce announced that the annualized quarterly rate of the final GDP value in the second quarter was revised up to 3.8%, significantly higher than the market expectations of 3.3% and the previous value of 3.3%, indicating that the economy showed resilience beyond expectations driven by a decline in imports and a recovery in consumption. At the same time, durable goods orders in August increased by 2.9% month-on-month, far exceeding the expected -0.5% and the corrected previous value -2.7%. Among them, transportation equipment orders surged by 7.9%, and core orders also rose by 0.4% after excluding transportation; the number of initial unemployment claims fell to 218,000, lower than the expected 235,000 and the previous value 232,000. These data were implemented together, instantly igniting the market nerves. Traders who were already shrouded in the Fed's expectation of interest rate cuts were caught off guard. The US dollar index rose by more than 36 points, while spot gold fell by pressure by about $25. Before the retrospective announcement, traders bet on weak data to strengthen easing expectations, and now this twistNot only has it reshaped short-term path dependence, it has also brought the risk aversion this week to a sudden end, and has brought hidden worries about the economic overheating.
Gold technical analysis: Looking at the current market, let’s talk about the conclusion first. Gold is expected to be a high-level fluctuation performance of the bullish trend on Thursday. Although it is bullish, don’t look too far at its strength. After Wednesday's rise and adjustment, the highest was 3780 and the lowest was 3717. If nothing unexpected happens, today's performance is within this range, and you can make effective high-altitude and low-broad trading within this range. Maintain the previous principle. Although gold is bullish, it must not chase highs. Wait for the decline and adjustment every trading day after the end of the decline, and make effective long orders at the key support point.
From a technical point of view, Wednesday's decline, the daily line closed negative, and Bollinger's possible closing performance showed that under the suppression of 3800, gold's bulls were insufficient, so we should pay attention to the continuous adjustment space of the environment in the near future. If the strength is large, this wave may reach around 3680. Therefore, the changes on Thursday are more important. Of course, gold has not changed its temporary bullish trend yet, but it has changed from an absolute strong oscillation in the previous period to a high-level oscillation. Therefore, it is still necessary to look at the continuity of the bullish trend. In the H4 cycle, Bollinger closes and moving average bonds, it can be seen that the oscillation performance is quite obvious. Pay attention to the two support points of 3715 and 3680 below, and pay attention to the two suppression points of 3780 and 3800 above. If today is a high fluctuation and the bulls perform strongly, gold may rise to 3780 again. If the bulls do not perform well today, gold may test 3715 or fall below 3715 to the low point of 3680. Therefore, try to consider the two support points of 3715 or 3680 when you are long in the day. Overall, in terms of today's short-term gold operation ideas, He Bosheng recommends that the pullback be long, and the rebound is supplemented by high altitude. The short-term focus on the upper short-term focus on the 3765-3775 line resistance, and the short-term focus on the 3725-3715 line support.
The latest trend analysis of crude oil market:
Crude oil news analysis: On Thursday (September 25), oil prices rose sharply by about 2%, hitting a seven-week high. This round of gains stems from unexpected declines in U.S. crude oil inventories each year, exacerbating market expectations of tight supply disruptions in Iraq, Venezuela and Russia. U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 607,000 barrels last week, well below the 235,000 barrel increase expected by a Reuters analyst survey, but were moderate from the 3.8 million barrel decline reported by the U.S. Petroleum Association (API) on Tuesday. In the futures market, at 1:23 pm Eastern Time (01:23 Beijing time), Brent crude oil futures (LCOc1) rose $1.64 to $69.27 per barrel, an increase of 2.4%; US West Texas Intermediate crude oil (WTI) futures (CLc1) rose $1.59 to $65.00 per barrel, an increase of 2.5%. This is expected to bring Brent to its highest closing price since August 1, while WTI hits September 2Daily high.
Crude oil technical analysis: From the daily chart level, crude oil has been continuously closed and stopped, forming a narrow range bottom, oil prices repeatedly cross the moving average system, and the medium-term objective trend fluctuates pattern. Oil prices fell below the lower edge of the range on Monday, and there has not yet been a continuous and powerful downward trend. It is expected that the medium-term trend of crude oil will remain weak and volatile consolidation pattern. The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil continued to rise, with the main, secondary and main alternating upward hitting new highs. The moving average system is arranged long and the oil price has formed good support, and the short-term objective trend is on the rise. The fast and slow lines of the MACD indicator cross at a high level above the zero axis, and the bulls' momentum still dominate. It is expected that the crude oil trend will continue to rise during the day. Overall, in terms of today's operational ideas of crude oil, He Bosheng recommends that the main focus should be on the low-sinking back, and the rebound should be supplemented by the high altitude. The short-term focus should be on the 66.5-67.5 line resistance at the top, and the short-term focus should be on the 64.0-63.0 line support at the bottom.
Things you must know when facing losses:
1: Like to buy at the bottom/top. Whenever the market is at a historical low/high price, you will be happy and start to make arrangements as soon as you reach the low/high level. But unexpectedly, since a price has hit a historical low/high level, it is very likely that another new low/high will appear;
2: Unwilling to stop loss is often a kind of luck mentality , because sometimes it is found that the price will xn--xm-6d1dw86k.come back shortly after the stop loss, so I will hold this hope next time, but the consequences of not stop loss are more serious big losses or liquidation, which is absolutely not feasible in long-term investment. "Severe the loss and let the profit run" is indeed a famous saying;
3: Don't dare to follow the trend: Many friends are afraid of lows/high symptoms, and think that gold and crude oil have fallen, so what should I do if I chase it if I am trapped? In fact, there is no inevitable connection between the rise and fall and the price level. He Bosheng believes that the key lies in the "trend". Intervening after the upward trend is formed. This operation method is very safe, and it also makes huge profits in the short term. This kind of low or high may not only cause a missed profit, but also causes the bottom or top buying situation at the first point, which leads to losses.
He Bosheng's message: I don't have gorgeous language here, only real trading and Mingming Lang Lang's operations. The market has only one direction, neither bulls nor shorts, but right direction. Reasonable risk control + good investment returns allow every retail investor to find the real pleasure of investing, and no longer the hard trading of their own every day but the continuous increase in losses. I have always believed that choice is more important than hard work. A good instructor and a good technical team should be more responsible to customers in addition to bringing profits to customers. Individual investors, if they face the market alone, they are easily confused by the authorities and are caught off guard when encountering sharp rises and falls. If someone can see the situation clearly outside the circle and give the direction, they can do better.
This article was exclusively planned by gold crude oil analyst He Bosheng. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is personal suggestions, and the network sends itThe article is timely and the recommendations in the article are for learning reference only. The operation risks are at your own risk. No matter whether the views and strategies of the article are consistent with everyone's opinions, you can xn--xm-6d1dw86k.come to me to discuss and learn together! There is nothing difficult in the world, I am afraid of those who are interested. Investment itself carries risks, reminding everyone to identify the authoritative platform and the strong teacher. Fund safety is the first priority, secondly, consider operational risks, and finally how to make a profit.
The above content is all about "[XM Forex Official Website]: Analysis of the Today's Market Trend of Gold and Crude Oil and Operation Suggestions for Friday's Final Battle". It was carefully xn--xm-6d1dw86k.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Forex. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!
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